Assessing children's exposure to manganese in drinking water using a PBPK model.

A previously published human PBPK model for manganese (Mn) in infants and children has been updated with Mn in drinking water as an additional exposure source. Built upon the ability to capture differences in Mn source-specific regulation of intestinal uptake in nursing infants who are breast-fed and formula-fed, the updated model now describes the bioavailability of Mn from drinking water in children of ages 0-18. The age-related features, including the recommended age-specific Mn dietary intake, age-specific water consumption rates, and age-specific homeostasis of Mn, are based on the available human data and knowledge of the biology of essential-metal homeostasis. Model simulations suggest that the impact of adding drinking-water exposure to daily Mn exposure via dietary intake and ambient air inhalation in children is not greater than the impacts in adults, even at a drinking-water concentration that is 2 times higher than the USEPA's lifetime health advisory value. This conclusion was also valid for formula-fed infants who are considered at the highest potential exposure to Mn from drinking water compared to all other age groups. Our multi-route, multi-source Mn PBPK model for infants and children provides insights about the potential for Mn-related health effects on growing children and will thereby improve the level of confidence in properly interpreting Mn exposure-health effects relationships in children in human epidemiological studies.

Comparison of the EU T25 single point estimate method with benchmark dose response modeling for estimating potency of carcinogens.

The T25 single-point estimate method of evaluating the carcinogenic potency of a chemical, which is currently used by the European Union (EU) and is denoted the EU approach, is based on the selection of a single dose in a chronic bioassay with an incidence rate that is significantly higher than the background rate. The T25 is determined from that single point by a linear extrapolation or interpolation to the chronic dose (in mg/kg/day), at which a 25% increase in the incidence of the specified tumor type is expected, corrected for the background rate. Another method used to obtain a carcinogenic potency value based on a 25% increase in incidence above the background rate is the estimation of a T25 derived from a benchmark dose (BMD) response model fit to the chronic bioassay data for the specified tumor type. A comparison was made between these two methods using 276 chronic bioassays conducted by the National Toxicology Program. In each of the 2-year bioassays, a tumor type was selected based on statistical and biological significance, and both EU T25 and BMD T25 estimates were determined for that end point. In addition, simulations were done using underlying cumulative probability distributions to examine the effect of dose spacing, the number of animals per dose group, the possibility of a dose threshold, and variation in the background incidence rates on the EU T25 and BMD estimates. The simulations showed that in the majority of cases the EU T25 method underestimated the true T25 dose and overestimated the carcinogenic potency. The BMD estimate is generally less biased and has less variation about the true T25 value than the EU estimate.